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Broadcom: The artificial intelligence semiconductor business will surpass other businesses.Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.Goldman Sachs: Two situations support the view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70. Goldman Sachs: We find that when the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of $60/barrel, the supply response measures of the United States will increase, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) tends to extend the production reduction around the current price level, which supports our view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70/barrel.

Economic Daily: Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment and adjusting macro policies are related to the overall situation of national economic operation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9th emphasized that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented, the policy toolbox should be enriched and improved, the unconventional countercyclical adjustment should be strengthened, and the policy "combination boxing" should be well played to improve the foresight, pertinence and effectiveness of macro-control. The formulation of "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" has aroused widespread concern in the market. The experts interviewed generally believe that the meeting of the Politburo is the general policy of economic work in the future. A series of statements at the meeting exceeded expectations, and larger fiscal and financial policies and industrial cultivation policies, and more extensive measures to promote people's livelihood and consumption are expected to be introduced, and various departments and localities will also let go of their hands and feet at the implementation level.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.From the United States to the week of December 5, foreign central banks held US Treasury bonds of-203 million US dollars, with the previous value of-6.157 billion US dollars.

The yield of long-term US Treasury bonds rose by at least 7 basis points. Yellen auctioned 30-year US Treasury bonds at noon in new york, and the demand was weak. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), the yield of US 10-year benchmark Treasury bonds rose by 6.26 basis points, rising for the fourth consecutive trading day, reaching 4.3337% on the refresh day, approaching 4.3668% at the top of November 25, at 08:08 Beijing time (at the beginning of the Asia-Pacific session, Most of the day was on the rise, and there was a V-shaped reversal after the European Central Bank announced the interest rate cut at 21:15, after the US PPI data was released, and after the US stock market opened.The balance of A-share financing reached a new high of more than 9 years. According to Wind data, as of December 11th, the balance of A-share market financing reached 1,875.85 billion yuan, a new high of more than 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (china securities journal)Jilin Province promotes the high-quality development of ice and snow economy and cultivates a number of well-known brands and leading enterprises. The Standing Committee of Jilin Provincial Party Committee recently deliberated and adopted the "Implementation Opinions on Promoting the High-quality Development of Ice and Snow Economy in Jilin Province". According to the "Implementation Opinions", by the snow season of 2027-2028, the number of ice and snow tourists will reach 230 million, and the total spending of ice and snow tourists will reach 420 billion yuan. By 2030, ice and snow tourism will receive 300 million people, the total cost of ice and snow tourism will reach 540 billion yuan, and the total output value of ice and snow equipment manufacturing industry will exceed 5 billion yuan. Jilin Province will strive to declare 1-2 national ski resorts, and operate no less than 100 characteristic ice and snow parks every year to build high-quality ice and snow tourist destinations. Vigorously develop famous cities, towns and villages in ice and snow, and cultivate a number of well-known brands and leading enterprises in the field of ice and snow. (Securities Times)